A List – 48, 24, 2, 14, 18, 5, 11, 42, 99
- Johnson once again looks to be the guy to beat. He can run a fast lap and is really good on long runs. Johnson was fastest in 5, 10, 15 and 20 lap averages.
- The 24 let the 9 car pass him in Happy Hour, then jumped right back on his bumper and raced him pretty hard for a few laps. Kahne was 7th in final practice, which convinces me the 24 has a pretty strong racecar. The commentators also mentioned that after 18 laps, Gordon was still in the 29 second bracket, which impressed them.
- Just a tick behind the 24 are the 2, 14 and 18. I ranked the 2 ahead of of the 14 and 18 strictly due to track position.
- I really like Tony’s racecar and think he’s better at working through the field and saving his stuff, so he got ranked just ahead of the 18. Larry Mac did not give specific rankings or speeds, but said he was looking at the average speed charts and Stewart looked stout. With Kyle starting 22nd and Tony starting 25th, it wouldn’t surprise me to see these two nose to tail early in tomorrow’s race while they work to the front.
- The next tier is the 5, 11, 42 and 99. Martin has a great starting position and was 4th in 15 lap averages during Happy Hour. I don’t see him contending for a win, but should run towards the bottom of the Top 10 all day.
- Hamlin was the hardest driver for me to rank this week. He hasn’t exactly lit up the speed charts all week, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see him drive to the front and lead a bunch of laps. With that said, he has too much value to use him this week when we’re unsure of how he’ll run. There will be plenty of opportunities for Hamlin in the future.
- Montoya is on the pole and always seems to run much better in clean air. He has a really good chance to lead a lap for a 10 point bonus. If you’re further down in your league and looking to make up ground, Montoya is a gamble I’d consider. But this breakdown ranks who I think are the best options for Sunday and I see at least 5 other A List driver who I’d take over Juan.
- Edwards has been very respectable on the speed charts, but I’m very wary of using him until he shows something. I don’t see any situation where he should be started in a league using Yahoo’s standard format.
B List -31, 33, 9, 56, 29, 39, 20
- I like the 31 as the best B Lister, but the gap is much narrower than that between the 48 and the rest of the A List. Burton has to start back in 17th, but has been fast since unloading and ranked 2nd in Happy Hour, just behind Johnson.
- The next tier of five cars is very close. The 33 and 9 were fast in Happy Hour and have track position. Kahne starts 2nd, so he has a chance at grabbing a lap leader bonus early. He also ranked 4th in 5 lap average.
- Both the 56 and 29 have fast cars, but are starting back in the mid 20’s. I do not have Truex this week, but he should get a good look for all of you looking to save starts.
- The 39 has great track position, but was only 23rd in Happy Hour. Newman was fast in Friday’s practice, Saturday’s first practice and qualifying, so he’ll still get some consideration.
- The 20 was a popular sleeper pick coming in, but hasn’t shown much speed in race trim this week. There are better options than Logano.
C List – 98, 43, 77, 78, 36
- Menard has surprised me this week. The 98 qualified 13th and was 14th in Happy Hour.
- Allmendinger was very disappointing in qualifying and very mediocre in race trim. I have him ranked ahead of Hornish because he is safer, but it’s so close that I’m starting the 77 and saving the 43 for another day.
- Smith has qualified and practiced around 20th on the speed charts. He is suffering from a broken wrist which scares me too much to start him.
- Mears came out of nowhere to post the 18th fastest lap in Happy Hour, which was worth mentioning. Still, I don’t see any situation where I’d consider him a legit C List option.
- I know there are many people who have Sorenson and Labonte on their rosters this week so I kept an eye on them. Neither of these guys have shown any speed since unloading and I do not see either of these cars finishing on the lead lap. If I had top pick one, I’d take the 83, but to be honest, would not be happy about it.
Top 5 Happy Hour 5-lap averages:
1. Johnson
2. Ky. Busch
3. Stewart
4. Kahne
5. Bowyer
Winner: Johnson
Sleeper: Truex Jr.