Archive for February, 2008

PJ’s hate for Sam Hornish Jr. at California

Sunday, February 24th, 2008

I know, I know. Saying that I don’t like Hornish at California isn’t exactly going out on a limb. I’m talking about Hornish in relation to the other C List drivers. 

Fantasy NASCAR is very tough when qualifying is cancelled and practice is shortened because it doesn’t give us very much of a chance to see the cars on the race track.  So, during races like this, we really need to take an in-depth look and find any mismatchs with which we can take advantage.

The C List is going to be tricky. There isn’t anybody that I really like. I’m going to have to roll the dice with David Reutimann. I don’t hate him, but I’m not exactly gushing over the prospect of starting him.

The C List will be HUGE this week because I really see a lot of people going with Sam Hornish. He has a great legacy in IRL, so people know him. He ran well all day at the Daytona 500. And he will start 7th because he has Kurt Busch’s points for this year.

While I’m talking about this, I want to state for the record that I DO NOT like him at all this weekend and really feel that he will struggle severely. Remember, Hornish has very little experience in a Cup car, got very few laps at California because practice was shortened, and all the rubber will be washed off of the racetrack after the rain. This is going to make the track very slick, making the cars free and tough to drive.

Why is this important? Well, because of the factors above, I really think Hornish is going to look like a solid prospect to some people. So, if you can steal an 18th place finish, or something like that, with Vickers or Reutimann, you can really make up some points on everyone else who runs Hornish, because I do not see him running well at California.

But what do I know?

PJ’s Daytona 500 Yahoo Fantasy NASCAR Preview – Post Gatorade Duels

Friday, February 15th, 2008

The Duels are over so I think we all have a good idea of what our teams are going to look like. These picks are not final because there are still practices to be run and anything can happen at Daytona. But as of Thursday evening, I have a good idea of what my team will look like. In my mind, the A List and C List are pretty straightforward, but there are a ton of guys you can run in the B List. This is what I’ve got right now:

A List – Gordon
A List – Stewart

- Both of these guys were awesome, but right now I’m leaning towards Gordon. Stewart had both of his teammates in his duel race, while Gordon had none. That makes Gordon’s performance a bit more impressive. I don’t really see anybody else you could go with. Maybe, maybe, maybe Matt Kenseth or Denny Hamlin, but I don’t have have the guts to bench Gordon or Stewart for one of those guys.

B List – Earnhardt Jr.
B List – Ryan Newman
B List – Mark Martin
B List – Casey Mears

- Right now there are 5 B List guys that I can make a case for to put on my team. They are:

1. Dale Earnhardt Jr. – Jr. is a STUD again at Daytona and is my pick to win the Daytona 500. He is a lock to be on my team and most likely start. The only possible way I can see not starting him is if you want to go completely opposite of everyone else, roll the dice, and hope Jr. has trouble.

2. Ryan Newman - As of right now, 6:47pm EST, he will be my other B List driver with Jr. Ask me in five minutes, and I might change my mind. But anyways, he was the only car that had the muscle to get past Jr. in the first duel and I was happy to hear that he was one of the few cars whose tires looked great after the race.

3. Mark Martin - Martin finished 2nd last year in the 500 and finished 5th, very quietly, in the second duel. He’s a veteran driver who drives smart and stays out of trouble. From a fantasy standpoint, he is only running about 2/3’s of the races this year, so it could be a good idea to pull the trigger on him when he has a good car, like this weekend. He is very well respected by the other drivers, so finding drafting partners shouldn’t be a problem for Martin. If I decide to not go with Newman, Martin will probably be my guy.

4. Casey Mears - Mears finished 4th in the first duel and is in that ridiculously fast Hendrick equipment. He will have the other 3 Hendrick guys, who will all be fast, and who will be happy to work with him, so he should be up front a lot on Sunday. I like Mears a lot for the Daytona 500, but I don’t see myself liking him more than Earnhardt, Newman, or Martin, so I doubt he’ll get the start for me.

5. Reed Sorenson - Wow, Top 5 in the shootout and 2nd to Jr. in the first Duel. He is the definition of “sleeper” for this race. He obviously has a fast car and is not a driver that we expect to use 9 times this year. As a result, he could be a good curveball to throw. At this point, I don’t have him on my roster because his finishes have been good in short, shootout races. He hasn’t yet proven that he can run well for an entire 500 miles at Daytona. His teammates haven’t shown much speed so far and he still is very young, so he might have trouble finding guys to work with him.

Honorable Mentions:

1. Kyle Busch - He’s extremely fast, but extremely out of control. He was bouncing off cars left and right during the Duels and I don’t see him making it the entire 500 miles. Besides, he’s going to be a B List stud this season and there will be plenty of other races where we can start him.

2. Kasey Kahne - Kahne finished 4th in the second duel, but doesn’t have any teammates to help him, especially since Elliott Sadler beat up his car.

C List – Michael Waltrip
C List – Brian Vickers

- Waltrip is by far the best C Lister and has a car that compete in the Top 5. As long as he doesn’t wreck in practice over the next couple of days, he is a lock to start for me. I really don’t feel good about any of the other C List guys. Right now I have Vickers penciled in, but I really won’t put much more thought into this unless Waltrip has some trouble before the race on Sunday.

PJ’s Gatorade Duel – Race 2 Reflection

Thursday, February 14th, 2008

The second race just ended, and the usual suspects were fast. Although nobody was as dominant as Dale Earnhardt Jr. was in the first race, Jeff Gordon, all 3 Gibbs cars and Michael Waltrip all looked fast.

A couple of notes about this race:

1. Michael Waltrip set himself apart as the best C List driver by a longshot for the Daytona 500.

2. Kyle Busch was very fast, but I won’t even consider putting him on my roster for Sunday. He was bouncing all of the place and I don’t see him making it the entire 500 miles.

3. Jeff Gordon ran up front all race without any teammates. Earnhardt, Johnson, and Mears were all in the first race and Gordon had to battle all 3 Gibbs cars who were working well together.

4. What do you know? Mark Martin very quietly finished 5th. He’s definitely a guy to look at for the 500 because he’s smart and knows how to run these plate races.

PJ’s Gatorade Duel – Race 1 Reflection

Thursday, February 14th, 2008

The first race just ended and all you can say is that Dale Jr. is a S.T.U.D. I said after he won the Bud Shootout that he was my favorite to win the Daytona 500, and nothing has changed. That car was awesome and he was even able to take the lead from Ryan Newman without any help from behind. Unbelievable.

Reed Sorenson, Ryan Newman, and Casey Mears looked really good as well. From that group, Reed Sorenson looks like a great sleeper for the 500. One note about Newman that you NEED to take into account is that the announcers said that his tires looked perfect after the pit stops. That is huge because so many cars have had tire problems, and that won’t get much better when they’re on the track for 500 miles on Sunday

I wish some C Listers would have differentiated themselves from the rest of the group, but maybe we’ll get a couple in the second race

PJ’s Budweiser Shootout Reaction

Sunday, February 10th, 2008

The Budweiser Shootout was run last night, signaling the official beginning to the 2008 NASCAR Sprint Cup Season. I thought it was an extremely exciting race to watch, and you know that NASCAR is loving it. Anytime the Top 4 finishers include Earnhardt, Stewart, Johnson, and Gordon, NASCAR will be smiling.

After watching the race, what have we learned? Well, I know it’s extremely early in the season and a real, points paying race hasn’t been run yet, but here are some conclusions I’ve drawn:

1. Hendrick Motorsports looks stout.

- I know, I know. Right now you’re thinking to yourself, “Thanks for the news flash PJ. Did you hurt yourself coming up with that one?” But bear with me. Hendrick put 4 cars in the Top 6, including the winner, Dale Earnhardt Jr. Remember, Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon were in back-up cars after wrecking in practice, and both of those cars were fast. Get used to Hendrick cars winning races and finishing in the Top 5.

2. Dale Earnhardt Jr. is the favorite to win the Daytona 500.

- Jr. dominated the Bud Shootout and has to be considered the favorite for the 500. I know that we still have qualifying races to see how good the 500 cars will be, but you know that Jr. has an even better car he is saving for the 500.

3. Toyota will provide us with multiple Fantasy sleepers for the Daytona 500

- Dave Blaney, Michael Waltrip and Dale Jarrett all look like guys that we can look at to save some starts from the studs. I’d love to be able to run Blaney in the B List and Dale Jarrett in the C List for the 500. Qualifying won’t be set until Thursday for the 500, but winning at Yahoo Fantasy Nascar is all about hitting home runs with sleepers.