I’ve been driving the Anti-Ambrose bandwagon all season and since we get asked about him every week, I put some stats together to back up my opinion:
Yahoo Fantasy Points per race: 51.75, which ranks 14th of the 16 B List drivers.
Average Finish: 20.8, which is 23rd overall and 13th among B List drivers.
I know that average finish or fantasy points may not reflect how well a driver has actually been performing due to bad luck, equipment failures, running out of fuel, etc.
Therefore, let’s look at some other stats that focus on how well a driver performs during a race and don’t rely solely on finishing position.
Percent of all laps run in the Top 15: 36%, which ranks 20th overall and 10th among B List drivers.
Ironically, Kasey Kahne, who everyone has been killing from a fantasy perspective, has run 58% of all laps inside the Top 15.
Average running position: 17.6, which ranks 19th overall and 9th among B List drivers.
Among Yahoo Fantasy Racing’s B List drivers, Ambrose doesn’t rank in the top half of any major statistical category and in some categories, ranks in the bottom three.
For the record, there are weeks where Ambrose’s value is so low that he makes sense in salary cap formats because a 20th place finish is okay from your cheapest or bottom end driver.
But why settle for 20th place finishes in Yahoo when MWR drivers are banging out Top 10′s weekly?
As we’ve learned in the past, drivers can certainly improve over the course of the season and become more reliable fantasy options, but these numbers prove that we should be in wait and see mode with Ambrose until he puts together some good runs at tracks other than road courses.
* All stats used in this article courtesy of FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com.